Key Points
- Shipments dropped to 40.04 million bags, but revenue rose to $15.586 billion on higher prices.
- Weather stress and coffee’s biennial cycle squeezed supply after 2024 drew down inventories.
- U.S. tariffs and port delays hit flows, while quality premiums helped Brazil defend value.
Brazil shipped 40.04 million 60-kilo bags of coffee in 2025, a 20.8% fall from 2024. Revenue rose 24.1% to $15.586 billion, the highest since Cecafé began tracking in 1990. Exports went to 121 countries.
Average revenue implied by the totals was about $389 per bag in 2025. A year earlier, the implied average was near $248. Cecafé’s president tied the jump to stronger prices and continued investment in technology and quality.
Supply limits drove the volume drop. Conab cited negative biennial effects and heat and dryness in key areas. The U.S. Department of Agriculture also flagged drought and extreme temperatures hurting arabica development.
Premium segmentation added lift. CNN Brasil reported “differentiated” coffees at 8.15 million bags, or 20.3% of exports. That segment generated $3.53 billion in revenue, implying about $433 per bag.
Trade policy then distorted routes. Cecafé said a 50% U.S. tariff ran from early August through late November 2025. It said shipments to the United States fell 55% during that period. It also said soluble coffee remained taxed.
In late November, U.S. moves removed an additional 40% tariff on a wider list that included coffee. Germany led destinations with 5.4 million bags, down 28.8%, or 13.5% of shipments, while the United States took 5.3 million, down 33.9%, or 13.4%.
By type, Brazil exported 32.3 million bags of arabica (80.7%), 3.9 million of canephora (10%), 3.6 million of soluble (9.2%), and 58,474 bags of roasted coffee (0.1%).
Logistics were another drag. CNN Brasil cited exporter losses of R$61.47 million from delays and schedule changes through November. Industry reporting linked October congestion to 2,065 containers not shipped, equal to 681,590 bags.
Brazil shipped fewer bags, but it sold them at far higher values. For roasters, the message is higher replacement costs. For Brazil, the year showed resilience, but also exposure to climate shocks, policy swings, and port bottlenecks.