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No Party Wins Outright as Bolivia Redraws Its Map

Key Points

Seven of Bolivia’s nine governorships will require runoff elections on April 18, after no candidate cleared the threshold in Sunday’s vote.
In Santa Cruz, Bolivia’s economic powerhouse, newcomer Juan Pablo Velasco leads with 29% over Otto Ritter’s 27%, sidelining incumbent governor Luis Fernando Camacho.
The MAS party’s two-decade dominance is definitively over at the regional level, with no first-round victories and scattered results across its former strongholds.
More than 7.4 million voters and 20,000 candidates participated in one of Bolivia’s most fragmented elections in democratic history.

Bolivia Elections Shatter Political Map in Historic Vote

The Bolivia elections held on Sunday produced the most fragmented political map in the country’s democratic history, with seven of nine governorships heading to runoff votes and no single party emerging as a dominant national force. More than 7.4 million voters chose among a record 20,000 candidates for governors, mayors, and local legislators, The Rio Times, the Latin American financial news outlet, reports.

Bolivia Elections Produce Seven Runoffs

Under Bolivian law, a gubernatorial candidate must win either 50% of valid votes outright or at least 40% with a 10-point lead over the runner-up to avoid a second round. With over 90% of preliminary results counted, only Pando in the north and Potosí in the southwest produced first-round winners. The remaining seven departments will vote again on April 18.

No Party Wins Outright as Bolivia Redraws Its Map. (Photo Internet reproduction)

The result signals a structural shift. Analyst Armando Ortuño noted that no single national party now concentrates power the way the Movement for Socialism once did during its nearly two decades of dominance. Analyst José Ugarte described the outcome as a political mosaic of dispersed votes and multiple forces.

Santa Cruz Sidelines Its Own Governor

The most dramatic result came from Santa Cruz, Bolivia’s economic engine. Newcomer Juan Pablo Velasco of the Libre alliance led with roughly 29%, followed closely by attorney Otto Ritter at 27%. Incumbent governor Luis Fernando Camacho, once a leading opposition figure, finished third with just 22% — effectively ending his political career at the regional level.

Velasco, a young digital entrepreneur with no prior government experience, represents a generational break in Cruceño politics. The runoff between Velasco and Ritter will test whether Santa Cruz’s traditional conservative electorate consolidates behind a newcomer or splits further.

Morales’ Shadow Lingers in Cochabamba

In Cochabamba, Leonardo Loza — a loyal Evo Morales disciple and former cocalero union leader — led with roughly 38%, tantalizingly close to the 40% threshold that could spare him a runoff. The department remains the last stronghold of Morales’ political influence, even as the MAS brand has collapsed nationally.

In La Paz, Bolivia’s administrative capital, 19 candidates competed for governor — the highest number in any department. Luis Revilla led with just 21%, pointing to an intensely competitive runoff in April.

The Governing Alliance Falls Short

President Rodrigo Paz Pereira’s governing alliance failed to win any governorship outright. The coalition will contest runoffs in several departments but was pushed to third or fourth place in others, undermining any claims of a national mandate just months into the new administration.

The fragmentation extends beyond governors to departmental assemblies and municipal councils, where virtually no force secured working majorities. Analysts warn this will produce five years of constant negotiation, coalition-building, and potential instability across Bolivia’s nine departments.

A New Political Era Begins

The Bolivia elections confirm what the August 2025 presidential vote foreshadowed: the era of single-party dominance is over. The MAS, which once won four consecutive national elections with absolute majorities, has been reduced to pockets of influence in coca-growing regions and rural strongholds.

What replaces it remains unclear. The April runoffs will determine who governs, but the deeper question — whether Bolivia can build stable coalitions from this mosaic of local movements — will define the country’s political trajectory for years to come.

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