KEY POINTS
- Investment fund IG4 Capital acquires R$20 billion (~$3.4 billion) in Novonor debts, gaining 50.1% of Braskem’s voting shares while Petrobras retains 47%, creating a co-control structure that finally removes the scandal-plagued former Odebrecht from governance.
- Braskem faces crushing leverage of 14.76 times EBITDA, ongoing liabilities from the Maceió environmental disaster that displaced 60,000 people, and a global petrochemical downturn that analysts say will persist until the early 2030s.
- Petrobras investors worry that supporting Braskem could require R$5-15 billion (~$850 million to $2.5 billion) in capital injections, potentially reducing dividend yields by up to 0.8 percentage points according to BTG Pactual estimates.
Latin America’s largest petrochemical company is entering a new chapter after one of Brazil’s longest corporate governance crises.
IG4 Capital has finalized the acquisition of approximately R$20 billion (~$3.4 billion) in debts from five major Brazilian banks—debts originally owed by Novonor, the rebranded Odebrecht conglomerate that pleaded guilty in 2016 to operating what U.S. prosecutors called a “Department of Bribery” spanning 12 countries.
Under the restructuring, IG4 gains majority voting control while Petrobras maintains 47%, establishing shared governance. Petrobras CEO Magda Chambriard will chair Braskem‘s board for the first two years.
Petrobras Faces High Stakes Braskem Bet
Novonor, once dominant, exits with a mere 4% non-voting stake—ending the Odebrecht family’s influence over the company they helped create.
The timing is critical. Braskem carries leverage exceeding 14 times its operating profit, faces credit ratings in distressed territory, and continues managing fallout from the Maceió disaster, where four decades of salt mining caused ground subsidence that forced 60,000 residents from their homes.
The company has paid over R$4.2 billion (~$720 million) in compensation with billions more in potential claims outstanding.
Globally, the petrochemical sector faces its worst downturn in a generation. An estimated 24% of worldwide ethylene capacity risks closure amid structural oversupply, with meaningful recovery unlikely before 2030.
For Petrobras shareholders, the deal raises concerns. Analysts estimate each billion dollars invested outside core oil operations reduces dividend yields by half a percentage point. Market projections suggest Braskem support could require R$5-15 billion (~$850 million to $2.5 billion).
Perspectives diverge sharply. Government allies emphasize potential for vertical integration, job preservation across Braskem’s 24,000-strong workforce, and industrial synergies between refineries and petrochemical plants.
Critics warn of political interference, pointing to historical precedents including costly acquisitions and the corruption schemes exposed by Operation Car Wash.
Both sides acknowledge: until final terms emerge, Braskem’s stock will move on headlines rather than fundamentals.
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