Ibovespa Tests 180,000 As Commodity Surge And Foreign Flows Power A Fourth Record Day

Key Points

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• Brazil stocks closed above 178,000 for the first time after touching 180,532 intraday.

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• Oil and iron ore gains lifted Petrobras, Vale, and peers, while selling pressure stayed limited.

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• Charts show a strong uptrend, but weekly momentum now looks parabolic and fragile.

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\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\nThe Ibovespa ended Friday at 178,858.54, up 1.86%, after printing a new intraday record at 180,532.28.\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\nThe day’s range was wide, with a low at 175,589.66 and a strong late-session push. Turnover was heavy at roughly R$35.9 billion ($6.79 billion). (\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\nThe immediate driver was commodities. WTI rose about 2.88% and Brent gained about 2.84% as Washington escalated pressure on Iran.\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\nInvestors also tracked talk of secondary tariffs on countries doing business with Tehran. “The rise in oil favored energy stocks,” said Christian Iarussi of The Hill Capital.\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\nThat oil bid hit Petrobras directly. PETR4 rose 4.35% and helped pull the index higher. Metals also supported risk appetite, with Vale up 2.46% as iron ore improved in Asian trading.\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n

Ibovespa Tests 180,000 As Commodity Surge And Foreign Flows Power A Fourth Record Day

\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\nThe five biggest winners inside the index were Braskem (BRKM5) up 10.66%, CSN (CSNA3) up 6.29%, Prio (PRIO3) up 4.91%, Magazine Luiza (MGLU3) up 4.58%, and Petrobras preferred (PETR4) up 4.35%.\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\nBraskem reached its highest close since September, while CSN tracked firmer ore and Prio tracked oil.\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\nThe five biggest losers were Vivara (VIVA3) down 5.06%, GPA (PCAR3) down 2.31%, Caixa Seguridade (CXSE3) down 1.90%, Axia (AXIA6) down 1.12%, and IRB (IRBR3) down 0.90%.\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\nVivara was described as a correction after prior gains. IRB fell after a weaker monthly profit comparison.\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\nThe charts underline the speed. Daily RSI is 82.27 and weekly RSI is 81.38. 4-hour RSI is 84.98. MACD is strongly positive across all timeframes.\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\nThis is an uptrend, but it is also an overbought market. First support clusters near 175,239, then 173,405 and 172,301.\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\nWhy the foreign money keeps coming is mostly a global story. Fund-flow data showed sizable withdrawals from U.S. equity funds during the week, while emerging markets attracted new allocations.\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\nThat rotation is consistent with what local desks called “diversification” away from concentrated U.S. risk.\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\nOn origin and institutions, public B3 flow data is usually reported as “non-residents,” not by country. Still, the pattern points to large global asset managers and ETFs reallocating from U.S. and China risk.\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\nBloomberg reported foreigners added over R$12 billion ($2.33 billion) to Brazilian stocks in January. B3-linked data also showed foreigners dominated cash-equity trading in 2025.\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\n

For broader market context, see Brazil’s Morning Call for this date. This is part of The Rio Times’ daily coverage of the Brazilian stock market and Latin American financial markets. This is part of The Rio Times’ daily coverage of the Brazilian real exchange rate and Latin American financial markets.

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For the latest currency context, see our USD/BRL exchange rate analysis for this date.

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For the latest currency context, see our USD/BRL exchange rate analysis for this date.

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For the latest currency context, see our USD/BRL exchange rate analysis for this date.

For the latest currency context, see our USD/BRL exchange rate analysis for this date.

For B3 equity market context, see The Rio Times’ Ibovespa session report for the same date.

For the macro context, see Brazil’s Morning Call for the same date.

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