Atlas Intel’s recent survey shows a tight race in public opinion on President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s government.
Conducted from November 17 to 20, it reveals 45% negative and 43% positive ratings.
This marks the first time negative views have edged past positive ones since Lula’s term began.
The survey’s margin of error is ±1 percentage point. So, negative views could range between 44% and 46%, and positive views between 42% and 44%.
This overlap indicates a technical tie, considering the margin of error.
The survey included 5,211 participants. They were chosen during their regular internet use, targeting specific demographics.
Participants responded to this question: “How do you rate President Lula’s government?” Their answers were:
– Bad/Terrible – 45.1%;
– Great/Good – 42.7%;
– Average – 10.7%;
– Unsure – 1.4%.
Atlas also asked if they approve or disapprove of Lula’s performance. Responses were:
– Approve – 49.6%;
– Disapprove – 47.3%;
– Unsure – 3.1%.
A PoderData survey from September 24 to 26 shows 48% approval and 45% disapproval of Lula’s administration, with 7% unsure.
Atlas Intel and PoderData use different questions. Atlas focuses on rating the government, while PoderData asks about approval or disapproval.
In PoderData’s survey, the approval-disapproval gap is the narrowest since Lula’s term started, at 3 points. Back in January, it was 13 points.
PoderData also inquires about Lula’s performance. In September, 36% rated it as great/good, 35% as bad/terrible, and 25% as average, with 4% unsure.
Background
This survey, conducted between November 17 and 20, is notable as it’s the first time negative perceptions have slightly surpassed positive ones in Lula’s current term.
A margin of error of ±1 percentage point indicates a close race, almost a technical tie between the positive and negative opinions.
Comparatively, a PoderData survey from late September presented a slightly more favorable view of Lula, with 48% approval and 45% disapproval.
However, the gap in this survey was the narrowest since Lula’s term began, reflecting a shrinking margin between approval and disapproval rates.