The International Energy Agency (IEA) projects a significant rise in Brazil’s global oil supply share, from 3% to 4% by 2030.
This growth, expected to sustain into the 2040s, is primarily driven by Brazil’s development of pre-salt areas.
In November, Brazil reached a record production of 3.678 million barrels per day, highlighting its potential for further growth.
IEA Director Birol recognizes Brazil’s vital role in global oil supply amid expected peak and decline in demand.
Brazil’s increasing oil production plays a crucial role in the global energy transition, particularly in light of its efforts to develop a renewable and diverse energy matrix.
To contextualize Brazil’s emerging role, it’s essential to compare its production with that of other major oil-producing countries.
As of 2022, the United States leads with a daily production of over 13 million barrels, followed by Saudi Arabia (10.2) and Russia (9).
Canada, Iraq, and China also contribute significantly to global oil production.
Despite Brazil’s current production being lower than that of these countries, its anticipated growth highlights its increasing importance in the oil market.
The development of pre-salt reserves in regions rich in oil potential credits this growth.
Brazil’s oil expansion aligns with global shifts due to geopolitical tensions and the move towards sustainable energy sources.
Brazil’s ability to increase production positions it as a key player in the international oil market.
Moreover, Brazil’s projected growth emphasizes its role as a major oil producer in Latin America.
Brazil exceeds daily oil production of regional peers, including Venezuela and Colombia, standing out in the Latin American oil industry.
In essence, Brazil’s rising contribution to global oil production represents a significant shift in the global energy landscape.
Brazil’s rising influence in oil, though smaller than the U.S., Russia, and Saudi Arabia, contributes meaningfully amid global energy challenges.