RIO DE JANEIRO, BRAZIL – The poll conducted by PoderData from June 5 to 7, 2022 indicates a stable presidential succession. Leftist Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva maintained the same 43% voting intention as 15 days ago. Conservative president Jair Bolsonaro came in at 35%, the same result as two weeks earlier. The gap between the two leaders is 8 points.
After João Doria (PSDB) withdrew his candidacy for president, the only representative of the so-called third way is now Senator Simone Tebet (MDB-MS). Over the past 15 days, she has been extensively featured in the media. The effect was zero. In the previous PowerData study, Tebet had 2%. Now it has 1%.
Ciro Gomes (PDT) remains at a similar level as in previous polls: he has 6%. André Janones (Avante) has 2%. Only two other candidates scored: José Maria Eymael (DC) and Luciano Bivar (União Brasil). The other micro-candidates did not have enough mentions to reach 1%. Still 5% say they will vote blank or invalid. And 5% say they are undecided.
The poll was conducted by PoderData, a company of the Poder360 Jornalismo group, with its own resources. Data were collected through calls to cell phones and landlines. 3,000 interviews were conducted in 309 cities in the 27 units of the Federation. The margin of error is 2 percentage points. The confidence interval is 95%.STRATIFICATION
Lula da Silva does better among those who have completed elementary school (49%), in the Northeast (57%), and among those who earn up to two minimum wages (47%). Bolsonaro receives more votes among men (42%), 16-24-year-olds (41%), those who have completed secondary school (43%), and in the South (41%) and West Central (41%).
In the southeast, south, center-west, and northern regions, the two candidates are technically tied. The Labor Party candidate has a large lead in the Northeast.
With information from Poder360