RIO DE JANEIRO, BRAZIL – Brazil has 5.3 million people eligible for the Brazil Aid program (Auxílio Brasil). They ask for access to the benefit but don’t know when they will be registered.
The Ministry of Economy thinks it will not be possible to zero the list in 2022, even with the Proposed Amendment to the Constitution (PEC) of Kindnesses, which allows adding 1.7 million families to the social program and increases its value from R$400 (US$74) to R$600 until December.
The Southeast and Northeast regions lead the number of people in line. There are 2 million and 1.6 million, respectively, waiting to enter the Brazil Aid program. The data were computed by CNM (National Confederation of Municipalities).
The aid is currently paid to 18.1 million families. With this, 53 million people are benefited (40% of which are children who do not vote).
Bolsonaro is betting on the Brazil Aid of R$600 to grow among the poorest voters – who, so far, are more likely to vote for Lula da Silva.
According to the latest PoderData survey, conducted from July 3 to July 5, Bolsonaro has 51% of voting intentions among voters with incomes of up to two minimum wages.
In the Brazilian electorate, a significant 46% have family incomes of up to two minimum wages.
The PoderData survey captured a sign that the positive impression about the government may be starting to grow among beneficiaries of the Brazil Aid: the percentage of voters who intend to vote for the current president in the first round of elections rose nine percentage points compared to the round from June 19 to 21.
The government wants all the goodies to reach the beneficiaries’ pockets still in July. The longer it takes, the less the electoral impact will be.
PODERDATA RESEARCH
PoderData research conducted from July 3 to 5 shows that the scenario for the presidential succession remains stable and concentrated on Lula da Silva and Bolsonaro. Today, Lula da Silva has 44% of the voting intentions against 36% of the current president.
A fortnight ago, they were 44% and 34%, respectively. Bolsonaro has moved two percentage points up – within the poll’s margin of error (2 p.p.).
Lula da Silva has his best performance in the Northeast (56% against 30% of the president); Bolsonaro in the North (56%; Da Silva has 36%). The two are technically tied in the other regions.
Lula da Silva continues to have a significant advantage over Bolsonaro among women, young people, and people with lower incomes, while the president has his best score among those who earn five or more salaries.
With information from Poder360