RIO DE JANEIRO, BRAZIL – President Jair Bolsonaro’s approval rate rose by two percentage points between June 20th and July 20th, according to an XP/IPESPE opinion poll. The ratio of those who considered Bolsonaro “great or good” fluctuated between 28 and 30 percent, within the 3.2 percentage points error margin.
As a result, the President’s approval stood five percentage points above its worst point in May. This is the fourth consecutive increase in the President’s positive rating. In the June to July changeover, the proportion of those who rate Bolsonaro as “bad or terrible” dropped from 48 to 45 percent, still within the margin of error. Those who regard the government as “average” rose from 22 to 24 percent.
Expectations
The population’s expectation for the remainder of Bolsonaro’s term has also improved. Those who believe that the President will govern optimally or well in the coming years rose from 29 to 33 percent, while the bad or poor assessment dropped from 46 to 43 percent.
Economy
The assessment of the Brazilian economy has also improved since June. The proportion of people who consider the economy to be on the right track has increased from 29 to 33 percent, while those who perceive the economy to be on the wrong track have dropped from 53 to 52 percent. All variations fall within the error margin.
The rate of people who consider they have a high or very high chance of keeping their jobs in the next six months has climbed from 44 to 46 percent. Those who see a slim or very slim chance of remaining employed have dropped from 48 to 46 percent.
In parallel, the rate of those who consider that their debts should increase or greatly increase over the next six months has dropped marginally, from 33 to 32 percent, while those who expect their debts to decrease or greatly decrease have increased from 21 to 23 percent.
Regarding the use of emergency aid, 36 percent of the population say they have already received the benefit, while six percent say they will still receive it and 57 percent say they will not, because they do not fit the criteria.
Among those eligible for the benefit, 39 percent say they have used the funds to buy food and products to supply their homes; 18 percent to pay bills; and 16 percent to pay off debts.
The XP/IPESPE survey conducted one thousand telephone interviews in July 13th, 14th and 15th. The sample was considered by gender, type of city, region, age, size of municipality, religion, occupation, and educational level.