IBOV 183,476.86 ▼ 0.27% IPSA 11,256.80 ▼ 0.38% IPC MEX 64,992.23 ▲ 1.13% MERVAL 2,893,751 ▼ 1.57% COLCAP 2,584.72 ▼ 0.95% BVL PERÚ 59,934.37 ▲ 1.27% USD/BRL5.19▼ 0.12% USD/MXN17.68▼ 0.27% USD/CLP960.63▼ 0.27% USD/COP3,293▲ 0.20% USD/PEN3.39▼ 0.67% USD/ARS1,525▲ 0.30% USD/UYU40.21▲ 3.50% USD/PYG5,870▲ 2.23% USD/BOB12.17▲ 2.05% USD/DOP59.35▲ 0.25% USD/CRC450.87▲ 2.53% USD/GTQ7.64▲ 3.22% USD/HNL26.85▲ 0.31% USD/NIO36.62▲ 2.66% USD/VES853.52▼ 0.13% USD/PAB1.00— 0.00% USD/BZD2.00— 0.00% USD/JMD 157.28 — 0.00% USD/TTD6.77▲ 2.72% EUR/BRL5.91▲ 0.63% BRENT 88.88 ▼ 0.03% WTI 83.11 ▼ 0.11% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.61 ▲ 0.03% GOLD 4,461 ▲ 1.78% SILVER 65.59 ▲ 1.26% SOY 1,184 ▲ 3.20% CORN 480.50 ▲ 10.02% WHEAT 655.00 ▲ 3.93% COFFEE 317.25 ▼ 5.51% SUGAR 16.43 ▼ 1.79% ORANGE JUICE 138.55 ▼ 0.47% COTTON 85.03 ▲ 2.33% COCOA 5,719 ▲ 3.18% BEEF 223.60 ▼ 3.93% CATTLE 339.10 ▼ 3.16% LITHIUM 75.20 ▲ 1.47% PETR4 41.64 ▼ 0.05% VALE3 72.97 ▲ 0.83% ITUB4 38.60 ▼ 1.03% BBDC4 16.85 ▲ 0.36% ABEV3 14.89 ▼ 0.80% BBAS3 19.37 ▲ 0.47% B3SA3 14.26 ▼ 0.21% WEGE3 47.59 ▲ 0.49% PRIO3 59.14 ▼ 0.19% SUZB3 41.33 ▲ 2.35% RENT3 34.68 ▼ 0.09% AZZA3 15.89 ▼ 2.63% CSAN3 3.22 ▼ 1.83% RAIZ4 0.25 — 0.00% PCAR3 2.75 ▼ 0.36% GMAT3 3.65 ▼ 1.08% PSSA3 48.13 ▼ 0.54% CVCB3 1.33 ▼ 2.92% POSI3 3.36 ▲ 2.44% SLCE3 13.34 ▲ 0.30% NATU3 8.14 ▼ 0.73% IBOV 183,476.86 ▼ 0.27% IPSA 11,256.80 ▼ 0.38% IPC MEX 64,992.23 ▲ 1.13% MERVAL 2,893,751 ▼ 1.57% COLCAP 2,584.72 ▼ 0.95% BVL PERÚ 59,934.37 ▲ 1.27% USD/BRL 5.16 ▲ 0.01% USD/MXN 17.06 ▼ 0.24% USD/CLP 913.98 ▲ 0.04% USD/COP 3,140 ▲ 0.03% USD/PEN 3.36 ▼ 0.66% USD/ARS 1,493 ▲ 0.10% USD/UYU 40.27 ▲ 1.24% USD/PYG 5,939 ▲ 1.68% USD/BOB 11.64 ▼ 0.76% USD/DOP 58.34 ▲ 1.25% USD/CRC 445.92 ▲ 0.89% USD/GTQ 7.62 ▲ 2.21% USD/HNL 26.79 ▲ 1.57% USD/NIO 36.62 ▲ 0.69% USD/VES 762.44 ▼ 0.13% USD/PAB 1.00 — 0.00% USD/BZD 2.00 — 0.00% USD/JMD 157.28 — 0.00% USD/TTD 6.70 ▲ 0.61% EUR/BRL 5.95 ▲ 1.01% BRENT 88.88 ▼ 0.03% WTI 83.11 ▼ 0.11% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.61 ▲ 0.03% GOLD 4,461 ▲ 1.78% SILVER 65.59 ▲ 1.26% SOY 1,184 ▲ 3.20% CORN 480.50 ▲ 10.02% WHEAT 655.00 ▲ 3.93% COFFEE 317.25 ▼ 5.51% SUGAR 16.43 ▼ 1.79% ORANGE JUICE 138.55 ▼ 0.47% COTTON 85.03 ▲ 2.33% COCOA 5,719 ▲ 3.18% BEEF 223.60 ▼ 3.93% CATTLE 339.10 ▼ 3.16% LITHIUM 75.20 ▲ 1.47% PETR4 41.64 ▼ 0.05% VALE3 72.97 ▲ 0.83% ITUB4 38.60 ▼ 1.03% BBDC4 16.85 ▲ 0.36% ABEV3 14.89 ▼ 0.80% BBAS3 19.37 ▲ 0.47% B3SA3 14.26 ▼ 0.21% WEGE3 47.59 ▲ 0.49% PRIO3 59.14 ▼ 0.19% SUZB3 41.33 ▲ 2.35% RENT3 34.68 ▼ 0.09% AZZA3 15.89 ▼ 2.63% CSAN3 3.22 ▼ 1.83% RAIZ4 0.25 — 0.00% PCAR3 2.75 ▼ 0.36% GMAT3 3.65 ▼ 1.08% PSSA3 48.13 ▼ 0.54% CVCB3 1.33 ▼ 2.92% POSI3 3.36 ▲ 2.44% SLCE3 13.34 ▲ 0.30% NATU3 8.14 ▼ 0.73%
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The Resilient and Vulnerable in Oil Price Shifts

By · October 4, 2023 · 2 min read

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Oil prices, which reached a one-year high in New York last week, have plummeted nearly 9% in a matter of days.

This drop is driven by market concerns about high interest rates and inventory increases in the U.S., the world’s key storage and distribution hub for oil.

Let’s dive into who can weather low oil prices and who faces hardships.

Saudi Arabia thrives even when oil hits a low of $20 per barrel, thanks to minimal production costs and ample reserves.

Similarly, due to low extraction expenses, Kuwait handles prices between $20-$30 well.

The UAE and Russia operate comfortably around $40 per barrel, the former due to economic diversification and the latter due to a flexible tax system.

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The Resilient and Vulnerable in Oil Price Shifts.
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Also, Qatar navigates low oil prices well around the same figure, aided by its natural gas reserves.

Companies with High Resilience

Saudi Aramco leads the pack, functioning well even at a meager $10 per barrel. ExxonMobil holds steady at $35, benefiting from diversified operations.

Shell and Chevron can operate at $30-$40, due to cost-cutting and diversified energy portfolios. Sinopec of China rounds off the list, standing strong at $40.

Countries Facing Challenges

Now, let’s shift gears. Venezuela grapples with prices below $100 due to its debts and inefficient production.

Nigeria leans heavily on oil for 90% of its foreign earnings and needs $80 to break even. Canada struggles at less than $60, mainly due to expensive oil sand methods.

Brazil needs above $55 due to high deepwater exploration costs. Lastly, U.S. shale operations require over $50 for profitability.

Companies Facing Challenges

BP finds it tough under $45, plagued by investments in high-cost regions. Occidental Petroleum, focused on shale, needs between $40 and $45.

Given its focus on African offshore reserves, Tullow Oil requires over $50. Hess Corporation struggles under $60 due to its high-cost offshore drilling.

ConocoPhillips needs above $50 due to its diverse shale and offshore drilling operations.

Petrobras: A Special Case

Brazil’s Petrobras requires prices above $55, mainly because of its focus on deepwater exploration.

As a significant player in Brazil’s economy, its vulnerabilities can have broader implications for the country.

Conclusion – The Resilient and Vulnerable in Oil Price Shifts

Countries and companies need varying oil prices for profitability.

Those with diversified economies and low production costs, like Saudi Arabia and Aramco, are in a better position than most.

Conversely, nations like Venezuela and companies like BP face significant struggles.

This article was produced by The Rio Times’ automated newsroom system. How we use AI · Report an error

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