Yesterday, the Central Bank of Chile made a unanimous move to trim the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) from 7.25% down to 6.5%.
This step reflects a worldwide dip in inflation, despite mounting costs. The authority also hinted at further cuts in the near term.
In July last year, the Bank initiated its first MPR reduction since December 2022, when the rate stood at 11.25% after eleven successive increases during a period marred by pandemic-induced economic strife.
From that point, rates began to fall. The Bank reported a shift towards stabilizing the economy, eyeing a drop in inflation to a desired 3% this year.
Globally, inflation rates are on the wane, but the Bank remains wary of cost surges in areas like transport and energy.
Notably, U.S. inflation outpaced predictions, casting a shadow over otherwise tepid signs of global economic revival.
Since January, long-term borrowing costs and stock market indices have climbed, indicating a complex economic landscape.
Even as market volatilities persist, the U.S. dollar and commodity prices, including oil and copper, have seen gains.
Domestically, these global trends have echoed, impacting the financial scene.
Since January’s meeting, borrowing costs have escalated, the peso has weakened, and the stock market has seen growth.
Loan rates, notably for businesses, mirror the MPR’s downward adjustments. However, mortgage rates, tied to long-term costs, and delinquency rates remain high.
Consumer spending in 2023 didn’t hit forecasts
Recent macroeconomic data presents a mixed bag: slightly upbeat activity against weaker demand signals.
Consumer spending in 2023 didn’t hit forecasts, and investment sharply tailed off in the latter half of the year.
Inflation, too, crept above expectations, fueled by currency depreciation, external price hikes, and local price adjustments.
Yet, the Bank observes a brisk drop in inflation, urging ongoing vigilance over imported cost pressures.
The MPR’s role is pivotal in tempering inflation by dialing back monetary stimulus.
Its elevation hints at pricier borrowing ahead, underscoring the Bank’s delicate balancing act in nurturing economic health amidst fluctuating global conditions.