Brazil must invest R$ 456 billion ($91.2 billion) yearly to match its 1970s productivity levels.
This recommendation comes from a recent study by São Paulo’s industry federation, Fiesp. The investment should span seven to ten years.
In the 1970s, Brazil’s output was 55% of that of the U.S., a significant economic benchmark.
Nowadays, it’s dropped to about 20%. Current investments in manufacturing make up just 2.6% of the country’s GDP. To bounce back, 4.6% is required.
Manufacturing plays a crucial role in Brazil, mainly in technology and innovation. Despite its importance, investments have dwindled.
In 2021, they accounted for only 12.9% of all investments in Brazil, a sharp decline from 21% in 2007.
Igor Rocha, Fiesp’s chief economist, describes the situation as alarming. He says at least 2.7% of GDP is needed to maintain depreciating assets.
“Both our infrastructure and industry are sliding,” Rocha adds.
Data from a Brazilian infrastructure association influenced this study. Rocha notes that investment in specific sectors, particularly before 2016, skewed the overall numbers.
The manufacturing sector is far from the technological frontier and lacks skilled labor.
The government promises reforms but hasn’t acted yet. They speak of a reindustrialization plan focused on green initiatives.
Still, in the conceptual stage, this plan targets eco-friendly transitions and reduced carbon emissions.
Moreover, the Vice President suggests quick depreciation incentives for machinery renewal. He also plans to introduce new credit lines for the sector.
These measures could be vital in revitalizing Brazil’s manufacturing, making it more productive and innovative.
Background Brazil Manufacturing
Brazil’s struggle with low investment in manufacturing is not new. Historically, the country showed promise in the 1970s but faced decades of underinvestment.
A shift in priorities saw more focus on service sectors, neglecting manufacturing.
The recent lack of investment exacerbates issues like outdated infrastructure and an unskilled workforce.
The government’s proposed “reindustrialization” plan shows they recognize the problem. However, the absence of concrete steps raises concerns.
Successful implementation of the Vice President’s suggested incentives and credit lines could serve as a catalyst.
Ultimately, rejuvenating Brazil’s manufacturing sector is a multi-faceted challenge that requires consistent, substantial investment.