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Brazil’s Interest Rate Dilemma Amid Inflation Concerns

Brazil's Central Bank faces mounting pressure to adjust the Selic rate upwards, as economists point to insufficient current rate projections to meet the inflation target.

Recent forecasts suggest a 9% rate by year-end and 8.5% by next year may not steer inflation back to the 3% goal.

Following the Quarterly Inflation Report, which predicted a closing year inflation at 3.5%, it's clear the Focus survey's Selic rate trajectory won't achieve the inflation target.

Alexandre Schwartsman, former Central Bank director, noted. . .

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