According to the Central Bank, foreign investment in Brazil’s productive sector dropped by 28.3% in the first four months of 2023 compared to the same period last year.
The net direct investment in the country during this period amounted to US$24.3 billion, contrasting with US$33.9 billion recorded in the equivalent interval of 2022.
Economists believe the decline in foreign capital inflows is not directly related to government and economic policy changes.
The remarkable performance in 2022, with a net direct investment of US$90.6 billion, set the bar high and surprised market projections.
Factors such as the state of the economy, GDP growth, interest rate dynamics, and inflationary conditions are more likely to influence investment decisions.
The international context, characterized by economic slowdowns, rising interest rates, and geopolitical conflicts, also contributes to the reduction in foreign investments worldwide.
The petroleum extraction and refining sector is particularly affected by global commodity price fluctuations, considering its significant share in Brazil’s total direct investments.
However, despite the decrease, net direct investment in Brazil remains above the historical average, excluding the exceptional year of 2022.
It is projected to reach US$80 billion by the end of 2023, reflecting a positive external financing situation compared to the current account deficit.
Brazil’s potential in agribusiness and renewable energy generation sectors is expected to attract investments in the coming years.
Agribusiness and alternative energy sources offer avenues for long-term growth and sustainability.